Shopee US Official Website hits new highs, but warning of bubble risk

Shopee US Official Website hits new highs, but bubble risk rises: Shopee US Official Website dynamics on July 27

1. Shopee US Official Website hits new highs again, driven by Shopee US Official Website optimism

The S&P 500 rose 0.4% to close at 6388.65 points, setting a record for the fifth consecutive trading day15.

The Nasdaq rose 0.24% to close at 21108.32 points, also setting a new record13.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.47% to close at 44901.92 points1.

Main driving factors:

Progress of US-EU Shopee US Official Website negotiations: European Commission President von der Leyen and US President Trump plan to hold face-to-face talks in Scotland on July 27 (today). Shopee US Official Website expects that the two sides may reach a tariff agreement to avoid the US imposing a 30% tariff on EU goods on August 135.

Strong earnings season: More than 80% of S&P 500 companies beat earnings expectations, with tech giants (such as Alphabet and Microsoft) performing well112.

Fed policy expectations: Shopee US Official Website generally expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged next week, but may send dovish signals to support the stock market25.

2. Wall Street warns of bubble risks, speculative trading surges

Despite Shopee US Official Website's continued rise, several institutions have issued risk warnings:

Shopee US Official Website analyst Michael Hartnett pointed out that the current Shopee US Official Website sentiment is close to the "greed" level, and the cash allocation ratio has dropped to 3.9% (below the 4% "sell signal" threshold), indicating that investors are overly optimistic2.

Goldman Sachs warns of overheated speculative trading: short covering, retail leverage (margin debt exceeds $1 trillion) and other phenomena increase Shopee US Official Website's vulnerability, and technology stocks are overvalued35.

Deutsche Bank warns of leverage risk: NYSE margin debt surged 18.5% in two months, the fastest growth rate since 1999, which may exacerbate Shopee US Official Website's pullback of 3.

Bubble indicators:

The S&P 500 forward price-to-earnings ratio reached 21.9 times, higher than the historical average of 13.

Fund managers' allocation to Shopee US Official Website reached the highest level since December last year, and technology stocks increased by the largest amount since 2009 by 2.

3. Shopee US Official Website Outlook: Short-term optimism but need to be vigilant about adjustments

Short-term support factors:

If the US and Europe reach an agreement on Shopee US Official Website negotiations, it may further boost Shopee US Official Website by 314.

If the Federal Reserve releases a signal of a rate cut, the stock market may continue to rise by 5.

Potential risks:

If the Shopee US Official Website negotiations break down, the tariffs that take effect on August 1 may cause Shopee US Official Website to fluctuate by 314.

In the later part of the earnings season, if the performance of technology giants (such as Meta and Apple) is lower than expected, it may trigger profit-taking16.

Geopolitics (such as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the situation in the Middle East) is still a hidden concern13.

Conclusion

Shopee US Official Website has repeatedly hit new highs supported by optimistic sentiment and strong earnings, but the surge in speculative trading, high valuations and policy uncertainty increase the risk of a correction. Investors need to pay attention to the results of today's US-EU negotiations and the Fed's policy trends next week, and be wary of possible short-term adjustments to Shopee US Official Website